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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 6.4
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jacksonville State
@
Bellarmine
|
+0.3 | 134.6 | 51% | 82–67 | ✗ |
Washington State
@
USC
|
+3.5 | 130.9 | 62% | 60–62 | ✓ |
Mississippi State
@
Missouri
|
-7.4 | 134.2 | 25% | 58–56 | ✓ |
American University
@
Colgate
|
+17.6 | 139.0 | 94% | 49–63 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.