Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -17.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | COLG -2800 AMER +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +14 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -17.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -17.8 (-3.8) | 138.3 (-26.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -15.2 (-1.2) | 141.2 (-29.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -15.4 (-1.4) | 140.8 (-28.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -16.0 (-2.0) | 139.3 (-27.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | AMER 70 – 66 COLG |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLG 64 – 62 AMER |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMER 72 – 62 COLG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | AMER 67 – 59 COLG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMER 81 – 77 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 6-5 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#130) | -12.5 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#196) | -1.97 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#186) | -2.29 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#161) | 0.400 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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