Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -150 AMER +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -4.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -1.9 (-9.9) | 140.3 (-14.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -2.0 (-10.0) | 138.4 (-12.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -3.0 (-11.0) | 136.7 (-10.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -1.7 (-9.7) | 138.7 (-12.7) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | AMER 70 – 66 COLG |
| Jan 8, 2026 | COLG 64 – 62 AMER |
| Mar 9, 2025 | AMER 72 – 62 COLG |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMER 81 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AMER 66 – 64 COLG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#251) | -6.0 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#265) | -0.47 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#261) | -0.77 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#241) | 0.509 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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