You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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78–44 on winners spread MAE 9.1 122 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Kansas +7.0 154.3 79% 62–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Dayton +16.7 139.8 89% 51–78 ✓
Marquette @ DePaul +5.7 136.4 70% 75–80 ✓
Ohio @ Ball State -5.9 142.7 31% 71–76 ✗
Colorado State @ Boise State +4.5 140.0 68% 73–79 ✓
UConn @ Georgetown -11.5 142.6 16% 64–62 ✓
Minnesota @ Illinois +16.8 138.2 89% 67–77 ✓
Virginia @ SMU +2.3 153.3 55% 72–68 ✗
Kentucky @ Tennessee +5.1 148.2 76% 80–78 ✗
Butler @ Seton Hall +4.6 138.7 72% 77–66 ✗
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +5.6 140.0 73% 76–89 ✓
Georgia Tech @ NC State +18.2 151.8 90% 78–74 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Canisius +0.2 132.5 41% 78–68 ✗
Elon @ Hofstra +7.7 148.9 77% 89–85 ✗
Duquesne @ Fordham -0.3 145.3 42% 74–63 ✓
Alabama @ Oklahoma -4.5 168.2 31% 83–81 ✓
UCLA @ Ohio State +5.5 143.5 74% 74–86 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette -0.8 135.7 39% 55–74 ✗
Boston University @ Loyola Maryland -3.0 149.4 37% 57–74 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +8.3 135.3 77% 79–85 ✓
Buffalo @ Miami (OH) +12.9 156.6 86% 102–105 ✓
Wagner @ New Haven +0.8 132.3 43% 74–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Western Carolina +2.4 145.2 63% 90–82 ✗
Old Dominion @ App State +4.8 134.2 63% 75–73 ✗
Iowa State @ Cincinnati -8.7 137.7 23% 70–79 ✗
Florida @ Vanderbilt +6.2 159.0 70% 98–94 ✗
Bradley @ Illinois State +5.6 145.1 74% 62–88 ✓
Bucknell @ Colgate +9.8 136.5 84% 76–95 ✓
TCU @ Utah -6.0 149.5 29% 79–82 ✗
Rutgers @ Wisconsin +13.5 148.2 87% 87–96 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana +1.5 142.6 61% 74–57 ✗
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville -2.4 148.2 38% 69–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb -7.8 139.3 19% 92–55 ✓
Rider @ Saint Peter's +11.2 132.3 82% 58–69 ✓
Syracuse @ Boston College -5.5 134.9 29% 73–81 ✗
Navy @ Lehigh -3.4 135.9 36% 82–79 ✓
Columbia @ Brown -4.0 137.6 33% 80–86 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ North Dakota State +3.7 150.5 66% 65–68 ✓
South Dakota @ North Dakota +0.4 156.7 53% 80–96 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +11.9 166.0 85% 68–102 ✓
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State -6.9 148.8 30% 78–80 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ IU Indianapolis -0.2 159.7 56% 80–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Akron +16.0 159.0 89% 89–104 ✓
Fairfield @ Marist +10.8 133.2 84% 67–82 ✓
Siena @ Manhattan -6.1 141.0 26% 74–59 ✓
Princeton @ Harvard +5.5 132.7 69% 80–87 ✓
Stonehill @ Mercyhurst +6.2 128.2 70% 62–57 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis -7.8 141.3 20% 98–90 ✓
Le Moyne @ Chicago State -3.6 140.7 31% 72–57 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Samford -5.3 143.2 27% 76–75 ✓
West Georgia @ Florida Gulf Coast +6.9 152.2 78% 72–90 ✓
Queens University @ Stetson -6.8 156.5 22% 87–81 ✓
North Florida @ Central Arkansas +10.1 157.2 85% 69–98 ✓
Sam Houston @ Florida International -0.9 156.7 43% 76–63 ✓
New Mexico State @ Delaware -5.6 133.5 30% 97–68 ✓
Miami @ Clemson +3.6 142.6 69% 59–69 ✓
Utah State @ Grand Canyon -6.1 142.8 30% 74–84 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ La Salle -2.3 142.0 39% 74–78 ✗
Longwood @ Radford +2.3 153.6 65% 83–85 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso -2.4 128.8 33% 44–54 ✗
Drake @ UIC +2.8 138.4 63% 67–74 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Merrimack -1.7 134.3 40% 71–83 ✗
Massachusetts @ Northern Illinois -6.7 145.4 28% 68–70 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth +2.1 152.9 61% 84–74 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +3.6 151.6 66% 79–75 ✗
Jacksonville @ North Alabama +0.6 132.4 49% 90–68 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Western Kentucky +5.5 158.3 72% 81–65 ✗
UTEP @ Liberty +12.5 136.7 87% 69–80 ✓
Georgia State @ UL Monroe -3.6 148.3 35% 77–57 ✓
Missouri @ LSU +4.8 148.7 70% 70–78 ✓
Arizona @ UCF -7.2 156.0 21% 84–77 ✓
Michigan @ Oregon -15.8 153.5 14% 81–71 ✓
Nebraska @ Northwestern -5.1 142.1 35% 77–58 ✓
North Carolina @ California -2.1 143.3 44% 78–84 ✗
Arkansas @ Georgia +3.0 174.1 70% 76–90 ✓
Indiana State @ Murray State +13.1 157.6 86% 81–85 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State +1.3 146.3 43% 72–71 ✗
Richmond @ Saint Louis +15.1 155.9 87% 63–88 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State -3.4 152.5 42% 78–82 ✗
Nevada @ Air Force -15.7 133.4 12% 81–66 ✓
Charleston @ Stony Brook -1.3 134.8 37% 106–112 ✗
Mercer @ UNC Greensboro -8.5 154.5 21% 102–92 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield -9.4 145.1 20% 83–62 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +2.8 137.0 63% 90–80 ✗
Louisiana @ South Alabama +10.1 130.0 77% 59–56 ✗
James Madison @ Marshall +6.2 149.1 77% 72–77 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee Tech +0.2 139.8 47% 76–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Little Rock +8.1 133.8 80% 79–86 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +6.6 135.3 73% 74–86 ✓
Howard @ North Carolina Central -2.7 136.8 37% 83–69 ✓
Norfolk State @ South Carolina State -6.5 132.5 20% 89–82 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State +2.8 130.5 60% 80–79 ✗
Coppin State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +14.0 135.2 88% 67–70 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +7.9 128.3 70% 56–68 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Houston Christian +2.3 134.1 56% 70–81 ✓
Arkansas State @ Troy +5.3 159.0 71% 74–99 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State -2.0 142.0 42% 67–74 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee State +9.4 144.7 81% 67–73 ✓
Lindenwood @ UT Martin +5.0 136.0 72% 55–69 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +4.4 136.3 68% 68–55 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -0.4 147.0 44% 76–62 ✓
Southern @ Grambling +4.7 149.6 68% 71–53 ✗
Wofford @ Furman +6.5 145.4 78% 74–70 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC Davis +0.1 143.6 48% 72–75 ✓
Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word +7.7 137.2 79% 74–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Portland State +12.0 141.3 85% 52–63 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Jacksonville State +2.8 126.6 54% 60–64 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota State +11.2 148.0 85% 62–90 ✓
McNeese @ UT Rio Grande Valley -7.7 140.7 25% 76–79 ✗
Purdue @ USC -5.6 153.6 27% 69–64 ✓
Duke @ Stanford -8.4 142.0 22% 80–50 ✓
Michigan State @ Washington -2.2 136.5 38% 80–63 ✓
Pacific @ Oregon State -1.9 141.2 43% 81–64 ✓
Colorado @ West Virginia +3.7 142.8 63% 61–72 ✓
Wake Forest @ Florida State -2.7 156.0 43% 69–68 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ New Orleans -7.0 141.8 20% 84–79 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State +9.4 152.1 82% 84–66 ✗
Texas A&M @ Texas +4.4 166.8 75% 74–70 ✗
South Carolina @ Auburn +10.9 153.0 83% 67–71 ✓
Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee +9.8 136.4 82% 87–90 ✓
Florida A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +3.5 149.7 70% 71–67 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Mississippi Valley State -12.5 142.1 13% 79–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.