Betting Lines
| Spread | NHVN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | NHVN -130 WAG +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NHVN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NHVN +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | NHVN -0.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NHVN -1.9 (+4.1) | 131.3 (+22.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NHVN -0.6 (+5.4) | 131.3 (+22.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NHVN -0.8 (+5.2) | 132.3 (+21.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NHVN -0.3 (+5.7) | 132.1 (+21.9) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WAG 65 – 62 NHVN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NHVN | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#324) | -8.8 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#320) | -2.65 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#317) | -3.17 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#269) | 0.384 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NHVN | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
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