Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | DEP -148 MARQ +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +5 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -5.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -5.7 (-0.7) | 139.5 (+15.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -4.3 (+0.7) | 140.1 (+14.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -4.8 (+0.2) | 135.7 (+19.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -5.7 (-0.7) | 136.4 (+18.6) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DEP 62 – 51 MARQ |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MARQ 68 – 58 DEP |
| Jan 15, 2025 | MARQ 85 – 83 DEP |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MARQ 105 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MARQ 86 – 73 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#111) | 2.0 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#114) | -0.39 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#107) | -0.58 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#183) | 0.484 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.