Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +34 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -27.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -21.6 (+12.4) | 148.2 (+27.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -21.8 (+12.2) | 147.0 (+29.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -25.7 (+8.3) | 148.7 (+27.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -26.2 (+7.8) | 147.2 (+28.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DEP 62 – 51 MARQ |
| Jan 17, 2026 | DEP 80 – 75 MARQ |
| Feb 12, 2025 | MARQ 68 – 58 DEP |
| Jan 15, 2025 | MARQ 85 – 83 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MARQ 86 – 73 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 0-20 |
| Home | 14-2 | 3-15 |
| Away | 7-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#15) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#9) | -1.72 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#8) | -1.85 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#11) | 0.433 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 29.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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