Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -3000 DEP +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -16.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -14.3 (-4.3) | 144.0 (-18.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -17.1 (-7.1) | 144.1 (-18.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -13.7 (-3.7) | 144.8 (-18.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -14.2 (-4.2) | 144.0 (-18.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | DEP 62 – 51 MARQ |
| Jan 17, 2026 | DEP 80 – 75 MARQ |
| Jan 15, 2025 | MARQ 85 – 83 DEP |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MARQ 105 – 71 DEP |
| Jan 25, 2024 | MARQ 86 – 73 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-8 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#23) | 3.4 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#27) | -0.16 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#20) | 0.08 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#21) | 0.463 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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