Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -425 NWST +330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -10.8 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -7.5 (-5.5) | 136.6 (+13.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -7.5 (-5.5) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -7.8 (-5.8) | 136.2 (+13.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -7.7 (-5.7) | 137.2 (+12.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NWST 97 – 71 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-15 | 8-14 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-12 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.9 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#180) | -8.1 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#255) | -1.39 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#247) | -1.95 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#281) | 0.424 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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