Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UIW -163 NWST +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +20 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -4.7 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -2.9 (-22.9) | 144.9 (-2.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -1.1 (-21.1) | 142.8 (-0.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -3.4 (-23.4) | 142.7 (-0.7) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -3.2 (-23.2) | 143.6 (-1.6) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NWST 97 – 71 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#330) | -12.3 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#329) | -2.24 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#337) | -2.58 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#349) | 0.386 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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