Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NWST +120 UIW -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +26 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | UIW -3.9 (+29.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -3.5 (+29.5) | 143.5 (+24.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -2.4 (+28.4) | 141.9 (+26.1) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -3.6 (+29.6) | 141.5 (+26.5) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -3.4 (+29.4) | 141.7 (+26.3) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 6-7 | 5-8 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 79.3 |
| Massey | -17.0 (#359) | -9.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.11 (#361) | -1.88 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.28 (#360) | -2.98 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.362 (#357) | 0.387 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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