Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -145 UIW +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -3.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -2.1 (+13.9) | 132.2 (-2.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -2.6 (+13.4) | 130.2 (-0.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -2.2 (+13.8) | 130.7 (-0.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -2.2 (+13.8) | 132.2 (-2.2) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NWST 97 – 71 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#235) | -4.4 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#227) | -1.15 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#220) | -1.24 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#221) | 0.454 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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