Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | UIW -225 NWST +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +2 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -2.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -3.1 (-5.1) | 140.1 (+1.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -2.4 (-4.4) | 141.9 (+0.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -2.1 (-4.1) | 142.6 (-0.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -3.5 (-5.5) | 138.9 (+3.1) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
| Jan 13, 2024 | NWST 97 – 71 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#250) | -2.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#248) | -2.25 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#251) | -1.60 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#315) | 0.474 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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