Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | LSU -115 MIZ -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -7.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -5.4 (+2.6) | 149.6 (-1.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -4.4 (+3.6) | 145.7 (+2.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -4.5 (+3.5) | 148.5 (-0.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -4.8 (+3.2) | 148.7 (-0.7) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 67 LSU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LSU 84 – 80 MIZ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MIZ 81 – 76 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MIZ 87 – 77 LSU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | LSU 76 – 68 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 15-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#41) | 9.3 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#74) | 2.20 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#60) | 2.98 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#80) | 0.556 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 58.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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