Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +8 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -15.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -11.8 (-3.8) | 135.2 (+8.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -11.0 (-3.0) | 135.2 (+8.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -12.7 (-4.7) | 135.3 (+8.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -12.1 (-4.1) | 135.8 (+8.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LSU 78 – 70 MIZ |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 67 LSU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LSU 84 – 80 MIZ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MIZ 81 – 76 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MIZ 87 – 77 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 16.3 (#15) | 1.1 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#29) | 0.48 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#28) | 0.71 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#35) | 0.498 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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