Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -300 LSU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +16 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -6.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -7.1 (+8.9) | 150.7 (-0.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -4.2 (+11.8) | 153.6 (-3.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -6.7 (+9.3) | 149.2 (+0.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -6.8 (+9.2) | 149.9 (+0.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LSU 78 – 70 MIZ |
| Mar 10, 2024 | LSU 84 – 80 MIZ |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MIZ 81 – 76 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MIZ 87 – 77 LSU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | LSU 76 – 68 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 18-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#43) | 10.5 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.36 (#42) | 1.89 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#29) | 2.43 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#91) | 0.539 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 40.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 37.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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