Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -300 MIZ +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +4 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -8.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -8.6 (-4.6) | 151.4 (+12.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -7.6 (-3.6) | 151.2 (+12.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -8.5 (-4.5) | 150.3 (+13.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -9.0 (-5.0) | 151.5 (+12.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LSU 78 – 70 MIZ |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 67 LSU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | MIZ 81 – 76 LSU |
| Feb 2, 2023 | MIZ 87 – 77 LSU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | LSU 76 – 68 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 0-18 |
| Home | 12-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L19 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#85) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#82) | -0.48 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#92) | -0.30 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#109) | 0.467 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
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