Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | DART -135 PENN +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +10 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | DART -4.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -1.9 (-11.9) | 153.0 (+5.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -3.1 (-13.1) | 152.4 (+5.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -1.8 (-11.8) | 151.4 (+6.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -2.1 (-12.1) | 152.9 (+5.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 80 – 71 DART |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PENN 88 – 75 DART |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DART 73 – 70 PENN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PENN 82 – 69 DART |
| Jan 6, 2024 | PENN 80 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 9-5 |
| Home | 5-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | -2.6 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#217) | -0.15 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#216) | -0.08 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#199) | 0.497 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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