Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | PENN -125 DART +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +13 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | DART -2.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -3.1 (+16.1) | 146.5 (+16.5) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -1.9 (+14.9) | 147.3 (+15.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -3.6 (+16.6) | 145.5 (+17.5) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -4.0 (+17.0) | 146.4 (+16.6) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 80 – 71 DART |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PENN 84 – 74 DART |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DART 73 – 70 PENN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PENN 82 – 69 DART |
| Jan 6, 2024 | PENN 80 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#301) | -2.5 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#316) | -0.48 (#214) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#297) | -0.68 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#317) | 0.491 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.