Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | DART +170 PENN -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | PENN -5.7 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -7.1 (-5.9) | 131.9 (+19.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -4.8 (-8.2) | 131.2 (+19.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -4.7 (-8.3) | 132.6 (+18.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -4.4 (-8.6) | 132.8 (+18.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 80 – 71 DART |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PENN 84 – 74 DART |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PENN 88 – 75 DART |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DART 73 – 70 PENN |
| Jan 6, 2024 | PENN 80 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-21 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 3-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 0-14 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.6 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#333) | -2.4 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#332) | -1.06 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#329) | -1.04 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#328) | 0.458 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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