Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -275 DART +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +29 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -13.6 (+15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -10.9 (+18.1) | 134.7 (-3.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -9.5 (+19.5) | 134.0 (-3.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -9.4 (+19.6) | 133.0 (-2.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -9.6 (+19.4) | 133.8 (-2.8) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 80 – 71 DART |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PENN 84 – 74 DART |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PENN 88 – 75 DART |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DART 73 – 70 PENN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PENN 82 – 69 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 6-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#182) | -10.2 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#187) | -1.73 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#155) | -2.01 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#175) | 0.383 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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