Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DART -190 PENN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DART +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | DART -8.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -5.3 (-2.3) | 144.1 (-1.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -4.5 (-1.5) | 146.5 (-3.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -6.1 (-3.1) | 142.9 (+0.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DART -5.6 (-2.6) | 142.5 (+0.5) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PENN 80 – 71 DART |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PENN 84 – 74 DART |
| Feb 22, 2025 | PENN 88 – 75 DART |
| Feb 24, 2024 | PENN 82 – 69 DART |
| Jan 6, 2024 | PENN 80 – 51 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-14 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#277) | -11.2 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#281) | -1.89 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#278) | -2.41 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#273) | 0.415 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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