Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -205 UCLA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -5.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -5.5 (+6.5) | 143.5 (+16.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -5.7 (+6.3) | 143.4 (+16.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -5.5 (+6.5) | 143.5 (+16.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -5.0 (+7.0) | 144.2 (+15.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCLA 69 – 61 OSU |
| Dec 16, 2023 | OSU 67 – 60 UCLA |
| Dec 19, 2020 | OSU 77 – 70 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 17-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#38) | 11.8 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#55) | 2.03 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#54) | 2.49 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#60) | 0.561 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 28.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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