Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | OSU +105 UCLA -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +7 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -1.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -0.3 (+6.7) | 140.3 (+6.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.3 (+6.7) | 143.8 (+3.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.2 (+6.8) | 145.0 (+2.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -0.5 (+6.5) | 143.7 (+3.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | OSU 86 – 74 UCLA |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCLA 69 – 61 OSU |
| Dec 16, 2023 | OSU 67 – 60 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-10 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#68) | 8.5 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#82) | 1.47 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#95) | 2.00 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#112) | 0.616 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.7% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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