Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -340 OSU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +8 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -3.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -4.5 (+3.5) | 137.2 (-7.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -4.2 (+3.8) | 138.2 (-8.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -4.7 (+3.3) | 140.5 (-10.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -4.7 (+3.3) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | OSU 86 – 74 UCLA |
| Dec 16, 2023 | OSU 67 – 60 UCLA |
| Dec 19, 2020 | OSU 77 – 70 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#24) | 15.6 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#30) | 1.94 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#31) | 2.88 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#39) | 0.562 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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