Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -125 SOU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +18 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -5.9 (-23.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-33.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -4.7 (-22.7) | 148.2 (-24.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -3.4 (-21.4) | 151.1 (-27.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -4.7 (-22.7) | 152.1 (-28.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -4.7 (-22.7) | 149.6 (-25.6) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | SOU 87 – 73 GRAM |
| Mar 12, 2025 | GRAM 65 – 62 SOU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SOU 71 – 64 GRAM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SOU 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Feb 24, 2024 | GRAM 63 – 57 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#261) | -8.6 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#236) | -1.46 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#256) | -2.14 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#250) | 0.428 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | SOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 34.7% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.