Betting Lines
| Spread | ILL -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ILL -1600 MINN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILL +10 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | ILL -19.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILL -16.8 (-6.8) | 136.7 (+7.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILL -15.6 (-5.6) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILL -15.8 (-5.8) | 138.1 (+5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILL -16.8 (-6.8) | 138.2 (+5.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | ILL 95 – 74 MINN |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ILL 105 – 97 MINN |
| Feb 21, 2023 | ILL 78 – 69 MINN |
| Jan 16, 2023 | ILL 78 – 60 MINN |
| Jan 5, 2022 | ILL 76 – 53 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILL | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#7) | 6.6 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#13) | 1.16 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.02 (#13) | 1.67 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#19) | 0.513 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILL | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.