Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–16 on winners spread MAE 10.7 38 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Belmont @ Southern Illinois -3.0 147.4 37% 73–68 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Santa Clara +3.0 150.3 64% 54–62 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State -2.8 138.9 37% 60–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ High Point +15.2 151.0 87% 69–89 ✓
Robert Morris @ Northern Kentucky +6.1 150.7 78% 92–89 ✗
Long Island University @ Fairleigh Dickinson -6.6 138.9 23% 66–59 ✓
Campbell @ UNC Wilmington +7.7 143.5 78% 75–78 ✓
The Citadel @ VMI +5.3 139.9 75% 82–68 ✗
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +2.7 151.2 64% 69–89 ✓
Austin Peay @ Lipscomb +2.4 145.4 60% 78–82 ✓
BYU @ Texas Tech +2.1 154.6 55% 71–84 ✓
Louisville @ Pittsburgh -5.9 146.0 29% 100–59 ✓
New Mexico @ San Diego State +2.5 142.4 64% 79–83 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge +4.9 153.2 73% 87–80 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside -3.2 152.3 34% 72–81 ✗
St. John's @ Villanova +2.3 145.3 63% 86–79 ✗
Omaha @ Oral Roberts +1.5 146.0 56% 73–62 ✗
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +1.9 148.1 63% 68–67 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Southern Utah -4.7 143.8 33% 52–74 ✗
Portland @ Loyola Marymount +6.3 144.3 74% 71–58 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Santa Barbara -4.6 141.1 29% 62–77 ✗
Montana @ Montana State +4.6 145.4 69% 67–76 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +3.5 150.8 69% 75–67 ✗
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech +0.3 149.7 54% 71–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Seattle U -11.9 146.0 15% 71–50 ✓
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State +4.7 164.4 75% 83–84 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Sacramento State -4.6 157.4 39% 89–93 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Temple -2.1 146.7 38% 79–73 ✓
Penn State @ Maryland -1.2 142.6 42% 73–96 ✗
American University @ Army -3.5 144.4 43% 78–67 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +6.8 154.4 78% 86–85 ✗
Charlotte @ East Carolina -5.0 144.2 29% 73–70 ✓
Oakland @ Green Bay -1.6 153.8 41% 88–63 ✓
Milwaukee @ Purdue Fort Wayne +2.5 144.0 64% 82–100 ✓
Tulsa @ UAB -2.4 154.9 48% 99–77 ✓
North Texas @ Tulane +1.3 132.3 51% 71–63 ✗
UTSA @ Memphis +21.1 136.3 91% 69–95 ✓
Arizona State @ Houston +14.2 136.7 87% 73–103 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.