Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -278 LBSU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +7 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -6.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -4.6 (-11.6) | 154.9 (+12.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -7.0 (-14.0) | 153.3 (+13.7) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -4.6 (-11.6) | 152.6 (+14.4) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -4.9 (-11.9) | 153.2 (+13.8) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSUN 78 – 76 LBSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSUN 81 – 80 LBSU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUN 86 – 76 LBSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | LBSU 87 – 73 CSUN |
| Dec 30, 2023 | CSUN 84 – 68 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#207) | -5.6 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#164) | -1.10 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#182) | -1.24 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#153) | 0.422 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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