Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +130 LBSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +14 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -1.3 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -0.0 (-14.0) | 156.7 (+3.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -0.9 (-13.1) | 157.1 (+2.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -1.0 (-15.0) | 155.9 (+4.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -0.4 (-14.4) | 156.6 (+3.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSUN 78 – 76 LBSU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LBSU 87 – 80 CSUN |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSUN 81 – 80 LBSU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUN 86 – 76 LBSU |
| Dec 30, 2023 | CSUN 84 – 68 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#206) | -0.1 (#163) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#157) | 0.40 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#177) | 0.34 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#176) | 0.514 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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