Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU +450 CSUN -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +1 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -10.8 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -10.0 (+9.0) | 148.1 (+12.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -10.2 (+9.2) | 147.0 (+14.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -11.3 (+10.3) | 149.2 (+11.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -11.1 (+10.1) | 149.7 (+11.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | CSUN 78 – 76 LBSU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | LBSU 87 – 80 CSUN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUN 86 – 76 LBSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | LBSU 87 – 73 CSUN |
| Dec 30, 2023 | CSUN 84 – 68 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-11 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L15 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#318) | 4.0 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#307) | 0.71 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#297) | 0.75 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#291) | 0.523 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 37.3% |
Game Analysis
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