Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
Big West Conference · Walter Pyramid · December 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LBSU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 163.5 Under
Money LBSU -350 / CSUN +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total LBSU win
Actual CSUN +16 152 Lost
Massey LBSU -7.0 (-23.0)
Massey Totals 161.7 (-9.7)
Bradley-Terry 82%
Weighted B-T 91%
Efficiency Plus ML LBSU -5.9 (-21.9) 156.6 (-4.6) 71%
Baseline Tuned ML LBSU -5.1 (-21.1) 154.5 (-2.5) 74%
Baseline ML LBSU -5.2 (-21.2) 156.1 (-4.1) 68%
Baseline Plus ML LBSU -5.0 (-21.0) 157.5 (-5.5) 70%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 CSUN 7876 LBSU
Jan 18, 2026 LBSU 8780 CSUN
Feb 9, 2025 CSUN 8180 LBSU
Jan 24, 2025 CSUN 8676 LBSU
Feb 18, 2024 LBSU 8773 CSUN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LBSU CSUN
Overall 21-15 19-15
Conference 10-10 9-11
Home 8-5 9-7
Away 9-7 9-7
Neutral 4-3 1-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 73.8
Avg Pts Against 76.2 74.4
Massey 3.1 (#121) 0.5 (#161)
Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#78) 0.66 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#86) 0.36 (#158)
RPI 0.543 (#104) 0.487 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors LBSU CSUN
FG% 46.0% 46.7%
3PT% 31.5% 29.6%
REB / G 38.1 41.4
OREB / G 11.9 12.3
AST / TO 0.98 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.6% 50.4%
TOV% 18.6% 19.4%
ORB% 32.4% 35.5%
FT Rate 24.9% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 46.8%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 18.5%
DRB% 69.2% 77.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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