He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Big West Conference · Walter Pyramid · December 30, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LBSU -8.5 Away covered
O/U 163.5 Under
Money LBSU -350 / CSUN +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total LBSU win
Actual CSUN +16 152 Lost
Massey LBSU -7.0 (-23.0) — —
Massey Totals — 161.7 (-9.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LBSU -5.0 (-21.0) 157.5 (-5.5) 70% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LBSU -5.9 (-21.9) 156.6 (-4.6) 71% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LBSU -5.1 (-21.1) 154.5 (-2.5) 74% ✗
Baseline ML LBSU -5.2 (-21.2) 156.1 (-4.1) 68% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 CSUN 78 – 76 LBSU
Jan 18, 2026 LBSU 87 – 80 CSUN
Feb 9, 2025 CSUN 81 – 80 LBSU
Jan 24, 2025 CSUN 86 – 76 LBSU
Feb 18, 2024 LBSU 87 – 73 CSUN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LBSU CSUN
Overall 21-15 19-15
Conference 10-10 9-11
Home 8-5 9-7
Away 9-7 9-7
Neutral 4-3 1-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.2 73.8
Avg Pts Against 76.2 74.4
Massey 3.1 (#121) 0.5 (#161)
Bradley-Terry 1.27 (#78) 0.66 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#86) 0.36 (#158)
RPI 0.543 (#104) 0.487 (#199)
Shooting & Four Factors LBSU CSUN
FG% 46.0% 46.7%
3PT% 31.5% 29.6%
REB / G 38.1 41.4
OREB / G 11.9 12.3
AST / TO 0.98 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.6% 50.4%
TOV% 18.6% 19.4%
ORB% 32.4% 35.5%
FT Rate 24.9% 25.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 46.8%
Opp TOV% 20.1% 18.5%
DRB% 69.2% 77.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 30.4%

Game Analysis

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