Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +130 CSUN -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -2.3 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -2.7 (+0.7) | 156.9 (-2.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -4.1 (+2.1) | 154.7 (-0.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -3.1 (+1.1) | 153.1 (+0.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -2.8 (+0.8) | 154.2 (-0.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | LBSU 87 – 80 CSUN |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSUN 81 – 80 LBSU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | CSUN 86 – 76 LBSU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | LBSU 87 – 73 CSUN |
| Dec 30, 2023 | CSUN 84 – 68 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#255) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#292) | 0.40 (#131) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#267) | 0.20 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#327) | 0.524 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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