Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MSST -185 MISS +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +1 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -1.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -2.5 (-3.5) | 150.3 (-15.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -2.8 (-3.8) | 146.1 (-11.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -1.9 (-2.9) | 148.1 (-13.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -1.4 (-2.4) | 148.2 (-13.2) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MSST 90 – 78 MISS |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MSST 81 – 71 MISS |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MSST 84 – 81 MISS |
| Feb 22, 2024 | MSST 83 – 71 MISS |
| Jan 31, 2024 | MISS 86 – 82 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-8 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#97) | 7.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#79) | 1.15 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#80) | 1.65 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#92) | 0.530 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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