Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +136 FAU -162 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -3.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -3.3 (-2.7) | 146.9 (+5.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -1.6 (-4.4) | 145.2 (+6.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -2.1 (-3.9) | 146.7 (+5.3) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.2 (-3.8) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAU 63 – 59 TEM |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAU 77 – 73 TEM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FAU 83 – 81 TEM |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 74 – 73 FAU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | FAU 80 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#152) | 7.7 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#147) | 1.14 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#141) | 1.51 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#176) | 0.583 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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