Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -8000 TEM +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -20.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -15.8 (-3.8) | 153.3 (-5.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -16.8 (-4.8) | 150.3 (-2.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -18.1 (-6.1) | 150.8 (-2.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -18.7 (-6.7) | 153.6 (-5.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | FAU 63 – 59 TEM |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAU 77 – 73 TEM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | FAU 79 – 73 TEM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | FAU 83 – 81 TEM |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 74 – 73 FAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#23) | -3.4 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.14 (#32) | -1.00 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#37) | -1.32 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#20) | 0.453 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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