In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
17–12 on winners spread MAE 9.9 29 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington State @ San Francisco +5.6 143.5 73% 80–85 ✓
Northeastern @ Monmouth +2.4 143.1 65% 68–81 ✓
Stonehill @ Saint Francis -2.5 135.9 37% 61–63 ✗
Vermont @ UAlbany -3.8 140.5 34% 68–75 ✗
Drexel @ Towson +3.7 123.6 64% 58–59 ✓
Iona @ Saint Peter's +0.6 135.7 51% 63–77 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Rider -3.3 133.6 28% 105–85 ✓
Cornell @ Brown +0.9 158.0 54% 89–67 ✗
Columbia @ Yale +10.1 152.7 82% 74–91 ✓
Fairfield @ Siena +4.3 139.1 68% 77–85 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Niagara -2.4 131.8 40% 68–58 ✓
Merrimack @ Marist +9.9 128.8 84% 68–55 ✗
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +11.9 148.4 87% 92–98 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Mercyhurst -0.8 132.9 39% 61–79 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +2.6 145.6 61% 63–64 ✓
Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson -0.6 139.0 39% 61–68 ✗
New Hampshire @ Maine +0.2 128.4 46% 65–48 ✗
UMBC @ Binghamton -6.6 138.5 22% 78–60 ✓
Bryant @ NJIT +0.5 131.7 41% 55–79 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ VCU +14.2 148.8 87% 72–79 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alcorn State -3.4 146.4 35% 75–76 ✗
Long Island University @ Le Moyne -1.0 139.1 48% 77–83 ✗
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -4.1 133.8 34% 69–53 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +3.1 148.3 63% 64–69 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alabama State -0.0 142.5 46% 73–69 ✓
Princeton @ Dartmouth +3.6 143.1 64% 69–71 ✓
Providence @ Marquette -2.4 159.3 43% 104–105 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word +8.7 136.5 81% 80–58 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff +0.4 152.2 51% 87–82 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.