Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | ME -135 UNH +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +17 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -1.6 (-18.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -1.3 (-18.3) | 129.1 (-16.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -0.2 (-17.2) | 127.0 (-14.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -0.2 (-17.2) | 128.4 (-15.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -0.4 (-17.4) | 128.7 (-15.7) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
| Jan 11, 2024 | UNH 79 – 74 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 5-11 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-14 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#336) | -10.6 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.77 (#347) | -2.57 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.43 (#349) | -3.41 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.396 (#341) | 0.424 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 64.0% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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