Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -175 ME +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +3 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -5.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -3.9 (-0.9) | 140.8 (-23.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -4.2 (-1.2) | 138.9 (-21.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -4.1 (-1.1) | 139.7 (-22.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -4.1 (-1.1) | 142.5 (-25.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Jan 11, 2024 | UNH 79 – 74 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#191) | -3.1 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#160) | -0.64 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#173) | -0.60 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#138) | 0.482 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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