Betting Lines
| Spread | UNH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | UNH -162 ME +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | UNH -3.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -2.6 (-5.6) | 134.2 (-15.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -2.0 (-5.0) | 131.8 (-12.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -1.7 (-4.7) | 135.0 (-16.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -1.8 (-4.8) | 134.6 (-15.6) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
| Jan 11, 2024 | UNH 79 – 74 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 1-16 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#335) | -13.6 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#344) | -2.80 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.93 (#344) | -3.50 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#335) | 0.392 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNH | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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