Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ME -2000 UNH +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +25 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | ME -18.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -17.1 (+7.9) | 139.7 (-22.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -13.4 (+11.6) | 141.7 (-24.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -16.4 (+8.6) | 140.8 (-23.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -17.4 (+7.6) | 142.6 (-25.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
| Jan 11, 2024 | UNH 79 – 74 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 6-10 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#190) | -17.0 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#190) | -3.00 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#189) | -3.69 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#172) | 0.366 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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