Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ME -125 UNH +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNH +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -1.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -0.8 (-5.8) | 141.4 (+11.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -1.0 (-6.0) | 140.9 (+12.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -0.4 (-5.4) | 137.9 (+15.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ME -0.1 (-5.1) | 139.5 (+13.5) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ME 61 – 58 UNH |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UNH 65 – 48 ME |
| Feb 28, 2025 | ME 73 – 66 UNH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | ME 71 – 46 UNH |
| Feb 11, 2024 | UNH 60 – 57 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#213) | 0.2 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#230) | 0.40 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#222) | 0.22 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#241) | 0.530 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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