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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–1 on winners spread MAE 7.6 14 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Haven @ Chicago State -1.1 129.9 37% 62–56 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh +4.4 147.2 68% 81–88 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UT Rio Grande Valley +6.4 131.5 71% 65–68 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls -5.4 140.8 27% 79–62 ✓
Florida A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -10.9 139.1 15% 62–48 ✓
Texas Southern @ Jackson State +1.3 149.7 52% 89–94 ✓
Northwestern State @ Houston Christian +1.4 139.5 60% 80–82 ✓
Lamar @ New Orleans +0.6 140.6 52% 76–89 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Colorado +0.2 148.7 46% 73–68 ✗
Montana @ Northern Arizona -3.6 139.7 34% 98–72 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Hampton +1.8 137.1 62% 61–82 ✓
Toledo @ Massachusetts +0.5 154.0 59% 82–84 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +9.5 140.8 79% 74–82 ✓
Akron @ Buffalo -4.6 166.2 35% 82–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.