Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -395 MINN +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +8 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -10.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -10.7 (-2.7) | 142.0 (+14.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -9.6 (-1.6) | 140.3 (+15.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -9.4 (-1.4) | 141.1 (+14.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -9.5 (-1.5) | 140.8 (+15.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2025 | OSU 89 – 88 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MINN 88 – 79 OSU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | OSU 84 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | MINN 70 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2022 | OSU 70 – 45 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#35) | 6.9 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#50) | 1.13 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#47) | 1.61 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#55) | 0.517 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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