Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -22.8 (-25.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -19.1 (-22.1) | 140.2 (-3.2) | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -16.6 (-19.6) | 140.5 (-3.5) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -17.0 (-20.0) | 142.8 (-5.8) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -18.9 (-21.9) | 142.9 (-5.9) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OSU 89 – 88 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MINN 88 – 79 OSU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | OSU 84 – 74 MINN |
| Feb 16, 2022 | OSU 70 – 45 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 2-17 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-11 |
| Away | 1-10 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 62.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#10) | -3.5 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#48) | -0.68 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#47) | -1.17 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#61) | 0.466 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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