Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +25 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -10.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -10.6 (+14.4) | 140.0 (-25.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -11.3 (+13.7) | 137.5 (-22.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -10.4 (+14.6) | 141.4 (-26.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -10.2 (+14.8) | 141.1 (-26.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OSU 89 – 88 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MINN 88 – 79 OSU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | OSU 84 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | MINN 70 – 67 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#21) | 5.6 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#21) | 1.39 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#19) | 1.61 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#21) | 0.557 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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