Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MINN -167 OSU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +9 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -2.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -1.3 (+7.7) | 142.6 (+24.4) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -2.9 (+6.1) | 141.9 (+25.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -2.9 (+6.1) | 143.3 (+23.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -2.3 (+6.7) | 143.9 (+23.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OSU 89 – 88 MINN |
| Dec 3, 2023 | OSU 84 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | MINN 70 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2022 | OSU 70 – 45 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 16-4 | 15-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#69) | 9.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.19 (#89) | 1.29 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#74) | 1.77 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#147) | 0.548 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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