Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | MINN +170 OSU -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +1 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -11.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+41.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -8.5 (+7.5) | 141.2 (+35.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -8.0 (+7.0) | 141.3 (+35.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -9.1 (+8.1) | 139.4 (+37.6) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -9.6 (+8.6) | 142.5 (+34.5) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MINN 88 – 79 OSU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | OSU 84 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | MINN 70 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2022 | OSU 70 – 45 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#156) | 15.7 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#151) | 2.01 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#144) | 3.06 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#197) | 0.591 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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