Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | OSU -900 MINN +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -15.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -13.1 (-3.1) | 139.7 (+18.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -14.0 (-4.0) | 141.1 (+16.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -12.0 (-2.0) | 141.9 (+16.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -11.4 (-1.4) | 142.4 (+15.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | OSU 82 – 74 MINN |
| Jan 7, 2025 | OSU 89 – 88 MINN |
| Feb 23, 2024 | MINN 88 – 79 OSU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | MINN 70 – 67 OSU |
| Feb 16, 2022 | OSU 70 – 45 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 9-11 |
| Home | 15-5 | 16-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#19) | 3.2 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#34) | -0.64 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#32) | -0.58 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#31) | 0.475 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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