Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | RID +170 SHU -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +20 | 190 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -3.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (+47.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -4.2 (-15.8) | 133.2 (+56.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SHU -3.6 (-16.4) | 139.0 (+51.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SHU -4.2 (-15.8) | 132.8 (+57.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.3 (-16.7) | 133.6 (+56.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SHU 86 – 75 RID |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SHU 89 – 77 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-25 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 9-11 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -14.5 (#347) | -8.2 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#361) | -1.42 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.57 (#359) | -1.57 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#338) | 0.440 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 25.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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